Spartans Football: What Will Michigan State Record Be in 2023?

Spartans Football: What Will Michigan State Record Be in 2023?
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Michigan State football, in the small sample that is the Mel Tucker coaching era, has reflected the up-and-down nature of Spartans football. That applies for both the program’s fans and for its Michigan sports betting backers.

And that has been the case over roughly the past couple of decades.

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Recent Michigan State Football History

Since 2000, Michigan State has had 14 seasons with better than a .500 record and nine seasons under the break-even mark. Mark Dantonio’s 13-season mark of 114-57 from 2007 through 2019 was an extremely solid run.

Under current head coach Tucker, the Spartans are 18-14 in three seasons, with the asterisk of a 2-5 record in the COVD-19 season of 2020.

At BetMGM Michigan Sportsbook, the Spartans have +15000 odds to surprise the pundits and win the Big Ten title in 2023.

So assembled hypothetical odds of how the Spartans will finish in the 2023 football season.

MSU Football Hypothetical Win Total Odds

Record Odds Pct. Chance
5-7 +250 28.6%
4-8 +275 26.7%
6-6 +450 18.2%
3-9 +600 14.3%
7-5 +600 14.3%
Other +1900 5.0%

Assessing Mel Tucker’s Tenure

These odds are not offered at sites with Michigan sportsbook promos, but only at

Tucker’s Michigan State team was 11-2, including a Peach Bowl win over Pitt, in 2021. Last season, MSU fell to 5-7, including a four-game losing streak.

So, which version of the Mel Tucker Spartans will show up in 2023?

Well, for starters, last year’s starting quarterback, Payton Thorne, and best receiver, Keon Coleman, transferred out – Thorne to Auburn and Coleman to Florida State. That leaves Noah Kim as the starting QB (14-19, 174 yards, three TD passes over three games last season) in East Lansing.

Odds Do Not Bode Well For Spartans

It probably won’t be of much consolation to Michigan State fans that the finishes with the highest likelihood, according to our projections, are below .500.

We give the Spartans hypothetical +250 odds, or a 28.6% likelihood, to match their 2022 finish of 5-7. Right behind that outcome, has Michigan State at +275, or a 26.7% likelihood, to finish 4-8.

A .500 finish of 6-6 is given hypothetical +450 odds, or a likelihood of 19.2%.

On the polar sides of the forecast, a 3-9 regular-season record has odds of +600, and likewise a 7-5 record-season record is handicapped at +600, giving each a 14.3% likelihood. Any other finishes are rated at +1900 odds, or a 5% chance of happening.

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Bill Ordine

Bill Ordine, senior journalist and columnist for, was a reporter and editor in news and sports for the Philadelphia Inquirer and Baltimore Sun for 25 years, and was a lead reporter on a team that was a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize in Breaking News. Bill started reporting on casinos and gaming shortly after Atlantic City’s first gambling halls opened and wrote a syndicated column on travel to casino destinations for 10 years. He covered the World Series of Poker for a decade and his articles on gaming have appeared in many major U.S. newspapers, such as the Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Miami Herald and others.

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