Detroit Tigers Playoff & World Series Odds

Key Takeaways:

  • 🐅The Detroit Tigers are currently fourth in the AL Central, with +275 odds and a 26.6% chance to make the playoffs.
  • ⚾Inconsistency in pitching, batting, and fielding has yielded streaky baseball for Detroit, which includes a winning record in their division and inexplicable losing streaks.
  • 🏆The Tigers are looking to make the playoffs for the first time since 2014.

Detroit Tigers celebrate as a win improves their playoff odds

The Detroit Tigers currently sit in fourth place in the AL Central, while proving to be one of the most inconsistent teams in Major League Baseball. Despite having a winning record against a tough division and a top-10 pitching staff statistically, the Tigers' offense continues to struggle, sitting outside of the top 20 in most offensive categories. 

Still, despite the lack of runs, Detroit has a .500 record with an outside shot at the playoffs - a place they haven't been since 2014 and the tail-end of three straight playoff appearances. With over 100 games remaining, the Tigers' playoff chances are still realistic. Armed with one of the best aces in baseball this season, can they finally put it all together after a strong start in April?

I will update this page each week with the latest Tigers odds; including playoff odds, World Series odds, and other updates.

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Latest Detroit Tigers Odds (May 2024)

Throughout the season, I am tracking and updating the latest odds on the Detroit Tigers from all Michigan sportsbooks in the table below.

🏆 Tigers World Series Odds:+7000
🏆 Playoff Odds:YES +275 | NO -330
🏆 American League Champion Odds:+3000
🏆 AL Central Divison Winner Odds:+850
✅Last Updated: May 22, 2024

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Tigers Odds to Win the American League

According to DraftKings Sportsbook Michigan, Detroit has the 11th-shortest odds in the American League to win the pennant at +3000, giving them a 3.23% chance based on implied probability. 

Currently, the Tigers sit fourth in their division in chances to win the American League, sitting ahead of just the Chicago White Sox, who have the worst odds in the American League to win at +20000. Their tough division and current positioning in the division leave the Tigers on the outside looking in.

However, there's plenty of baseball to go since the season is still in its second month.

Tigers Odds to Win the American League Central

The Tigers are currently longshots to win the AL Central at +850, which gives them a 10.5% chance based on implied probability. Currently sitting fourth in the division, the Tigers would have to take down the division-leading Guardians on top of the Twins & Royals, who occupy the two current wild card positions. 

The Tigers have not won the AL Central since 2014, after four straight years of winning (2011-2014), and currently sit outside of a playoff spot.

💰 Bet on Detroit to win the division at Fanatics Sportsbook Michigan

Tigers Odds to Make the Playoffs

The odds for the Detroit Tigers to make the MLB Playoffs currently lean "NO" at -330, or nearly 77% based on implied probability. 

The American League is stacked with the Cleveland Guardians, Minnesota Twins, and Kansas City Royals all having better records in the AL Central. In addition to the division, five other AL teams have a better record. The Tigers' fourth-place spot in the division leaves them outside the Wild Card race and postseason altogether.

Trailing by only 5.5 games for first place in a tight division leaves hope.

💰 Bet on Detroit to make the playoffs at ESPN BET Michigan

How Many Times Have the Tigers Made the Playoffs?

In the Tigers' 123 seasons, the franchise has only made the playoffs 16 times, most recently in 2014, the final appearance in a four-year run (2011-2014) of making the playoffs. 

Detroit has been a streaky playoff team - going to the playoffs from 1907-1909; 1934-1935; 1940; 1945; 1968; 1972; 1984; 1987; and 2006. 

In all of their playoff appearances, the Detroit Tigers have won 11 series and lost 12.

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Will The Tigers Make the World Series?

Oddsmakers have very limited expectations of the Tigers making the playoffs, let alone going and winning the World Series. 

The Tigers' World Series odds have changed throughout the season, most recently shooting down to +7500 from +6000 last week. The +7500 is an implied probability of just 1.32% and ranks 19th in Major League Baseball

Tigers fans have been clamoring for another World Series appearance - and they will likely need to wait longer after 2024.

💰 Bet on who will make the World Series at BetMGM Sportsbook Michigan

How Many Times Have the Detroit Tigers Been to the World Series?

The Tigers rank ninth all-time in World Series championships with four rings; they've appeared in the Fall Classic 11 times. In those 11 American League pennant seasons, the Tigers won the World Series in 1935, 1945, 1968, and 1984. 

Since their last World Series victory, the Tigers went to two different World Series, losing each, in 2006 (Cardinals) and 2012 (Giants).

Key Updates on the Detroit Tigers 2024 Season

Below, I will add the latest updates about the Detroit Tigers throughout the 2024 season.

  • Tarik Skubal has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, striking out more than 30% of batters faced. Additionally, he has one of the lowest ERAs in the big leagues. He is the current odds favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award.
  • In May, the Tigers started their first 10 games just 4-8, taking them from 17-13 to 21-21.
  • To start the season, despite being fourth in the division, the Tigers are 11-6 against the AL Central.
  • The Tigers rank 7th overall in pitcher ERA while ranking 21st in offensive runs.
  • Jack Flaherty has zero pitching wins on the season, but has a very good fWAR (21st in all of the majors). The vet has allowed the fourth-fewest walks of any starting pitcher in baseball.

Key Contributors to the Detroit Tigers 2024 Season

The Tigers don't have many stars, but they have a wealth of depth in their pitching staff, on top of some young offensive pieces budding for stardom,

  • The team's ace pitcher, LHP Tarik Skubal, is currently undefeated on the season as a starting pitcher and leads the team in innings pitched and ERA amongst starters.
  • Young LF Riley Greene leads the team in home runs (9, T-13th in MLB) and runs (29, T-11th in MLB), while also being third in batting average. He is the Tigers' best hitter and, so far, is having an exceptional season.
  • RF Kerry Carpenter has been the second-best hitter on the team, leading Detroit in triples & batting average, and slugging percentage amongst starters.
  • Relief pitcher Alex Faedo has had an impactful May, coming in strong from the Tigers bullpen. In 24 innings pitched, Faedo has the second-lowest ERA of anyone who has pitched more than 10 innings.

Detroit gets a committee effort from its arms, including 24-year-old starter Reese Olson and veteran closer Jason Foley.

Continue reading below as I break down the strengths and weaknesses of this youthful roster.

Strengths of the Roster

  • So far, the Tigers have had solid pitching, currently ranking seventh in ERA (3.41) and top 10 in hits, walks, earned runs, runs, and home runs allowed. Skubal leads the team in wins and veteran right-hander Jack Flaherty leads the team in strikeouts. While their records may not be great, the Tigers have put out a consistently good pitching staff this season.
  • The bullpen efficiency has been relatively strong and could help the Detroit Tigers' playoff chances if it continues to improve. Faedo and Foley have delivered solid innings and both have amongst the lowest ERAs on the team, with Foley leading the team with nine saves.
  • The Tigers' defense has been relatively strong all season. Their current Defensive Efficiency Ratio (a baseball statistic that measures how often a team's defense turns a ball in play into an out) ranks 9th in the major leagues.

Holes in the Roster

  • The Tigers have struggled offensively and, right now, rank in the bottom third of Major League Baseball in hits, home runs, runs scored, stolen bases, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Further, only one qualified player has a batting average above .250 (Kerry Carpenter, .274). Javier Báez, with a $20-million contract, is currently batting with just a .172 average and a .233 slugging percentage.
  • Relievers Andrew Chafin and Shelby Miller have had multiple blown opportunities over the last few weeks and have struggled to put in quality relief innings for the Tigers. Both pitchers are in the top 5 on the team in base-on-balls percentage and top-6 in ERA.
  • Consistency has been a major issue for the Tigers all season. They have had some great starting and relief pitching, but have also blown 10 saves. While starting pitcher Jack Flaherty is one of the best statistical pitchers on the team, he has zero wins. Sometimes, the Tigers offense will score a bunch of runs but, many times, they will go long stretches with no hits or runs. If the Tigers can consistently hit the ball and stop blowing opportunities, they have the talent to be better than a .500 team.

 

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