Michigan vs Michigan State Odds: Betting Trends, Game Schedule, Expert Picks

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Michigan vs. Michigan State

The Michigan vs Michigan State rivalry is among the greatest in college football. 

The schools sit a mere 65 miles apart, and the student bodies and alums spend much of their lives alongside each other in work, school, the gym, and everywhere else. The fortunes of the football teams have diverged quite a bit this season as Michigan sits near the top of every power rating and poll, while Michigan State will need to rally to get bowl-eligible. If the Spartans could win one more game this regular season, there is no question: this is the one they would pick.

We will look at the matchup here, including all of the University of Michigan vs Michigan State betting odds. The current point spread has Michigan as a 19-point favorite over at DraftKings. The best moneyline odds on Michigan have them at -1430 vs +1160 for Spartans backers. The midpoint of that spread suggests Michigan State has about a 7.1% chance of winning.

The teams have split their last eight meetings. The Wolverines won 29-7 in Ann Arbor last season and triumphed in 2016, 2018, and 2019, while the Spartans took the game in 2015, 2017, 2020 and 2021.

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Michigan vs Michigan State Odds: May 2024

The Michigan vs. Michigan State odds currently favor the Wolverines, per Draftkings Sportsbook. The Wolverines are also far more favored to win the national championship, at +340 compared to +10000 for the Spartans. Michigan has the second-best national championship odds of any team in 2023, trailing only Georgia (+260).

Current Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Odds at a Glance

🏈 Michigan vs. Michigan State OddsMichigan -24.5 (spread), -110 (moneyline)
👑 Michigan Odds to Win National Championship+340
🏆 Michigan State Odds to Win National ChampionshipNA
🥇 Michigan Odds to Win Big 10+125
🥇 Michigan State Odds to Win Big 10+10000

 

Latest Michigan State vs. Michigan Updates

  • 📅 10/7: Michigan boat races Minnesota 52-10 to take home the Little Brown Jug
  • 📅 9/30: Punchless Iowa breaks 25 points and sends the Spartans to their third straight loss. Michigan rolls 45-7 over the Nebraska
  • 📅 9/27: Tucker is officially fired with cause
  • 📅 9/23: Jim Harbaugh returns to the Michigan sideline. Wolverines roll 31-7 over Rutgers in Big Ten opener
  • 📅 9/18: Michigan State announced intent to fire Tucker
  • 📅 9/10: Michigan State suspends Head Coach Mel Tucker, longtime assistant Harlon Barnett is named interim coach
  • 📅 8/21: Michigan self-suspends Coach Jim Harbaugh for the season's first three games, all out-of-conference paper mismatches
  • 📅 5/9: MSU starting quarterback Payton Thorne transfers to Auburn
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How to Watch Michigan vs. Michigan State Game

The Michigan-Michigan State game will be under the lights at Spartan Stadium at 7:30 PM on October 21st. Viewers can catch the game on NBC with Noah Eagle providing the play-by-play, Todd Blackledge in the booth, and Kathryn Tappen on the sideline.

Michigan State and University of Michigan Rankings

The University of Michigan ranks 2nd in the most recent AP Top 25. On ESPN, 6-0 Michigan ranks 1st in the nation on SP+ and 8th on their Football Power Index (FPI). The Wolverines have dominated a very weak slate of opponents, scoring at least 30 points and allowing 10 points or fewer in every game. The 2-3 Michigan State Spartans sit at 59th in SP+ and 61st in FPI

Michigan State Coaches and Top Team Players

Recent Spartan stars like running back Kenneth Walker and receiver Jayden Reed have moved on to the NFL, and the offensive production has dipped in a big way.

Junior Quarterback Noah Kim is a transition player between two-year starter Payton Thorne, who transferred to Auburn, and promising freshman Katin Houser. He has completed 91 of 160 passes for 1090 yards, with 6 TDs and 6 interceptions. He gets a 38.9 rating viaESPN’s QBR, just 103rd in the nation. Nathan Carter accounts for virtually the entire Spartan running game with 477 yards and 4 TDs on 93 carries in addition to 10 receptions for 55 more yards. 

University of Michigan Coaches and Top Team Players

Michigan is loaded on offense. QB JJ McCarthy has completed 97 of his 125 passes (77.6%)  for 1290 yards, 11 TDs and just 3 interceptions. His 93.6 QBR tops the nation, and his 188.5 rating places him 5th. McCarthy can tuck it in and run, too, adding 133 yards and  3 TDs on 20 carries.

Senior Wide Receiver Roman Wilson had 8 career TDs coming into 2023 and then matched the total just five games into this year. He leads the Wolverines with 22 catches and 382 yards.

Heisman hopeful Blake Corum returns in 2023 after an injury-shortened 2022 and he picked up where he left off, rushing 83 times for 494 yards and 10 TD’s after going 247-1463-18 last season. The Wolverines did not miss a beat in 2022 with Corum out as Donovan Edwards added 991 yards and 7 TDs on 140 carries for a whopping 7.1 yards per carry. He has not gotten it going in 2023 thus far at just 51-177-0 and 3.5 YPC.

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  • Moneyline The moneyline betting will settle near Michigan -1400, Michigan State +1200. Michigan State won this matchup in East Lansing as recently as 2021, but Kenneth Walker, who ran for 197 yards and 5 TDs that day, is not walking back through that door.
  • Props Michigan is super efficient both in the air and on the ground. Something like “Blake Corum Over/Under 91.5 yards rushing”  will be on the prop board.
  • Totals (Over/Under) The early total points betting line has the over/under at 57.5. Michigan has not allowed more than 10 points in a game all season, so either Sparty will have to break that string, or it will be a blowout.
  • Futures DraftKings has Michigan +125 to win the Big Ten, -145 to make the college football playoff, and +340 to take the national title. JJ McCarthy is +2200 to win the Heisman Trophy, while Blake Corum sits at +5000.

Where to Place Bets on University of Michigan vs. Michigan State

Michigan-Michigan State is a huge rivalry game between brand-name programs. All the sportsbooks have posted odds since it debuted as one of the games of the year back in the spring. The luster is off a bit given Michigan State's difficult season, but that has not cooled the betting markets.

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2023-2024 Michigan State vs University of Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Michigan has national title aspirations and has plowed through a relatively easy schedule thus far. The big tests lie ahead, with Penn State and Ohio State still on the docket. If any of those three beat the other two, they will almost certainly get to the college football playoff. Michigan State is only two seasons removed from national relevance but is just trying to get through the turmoil of the 2023 season. Knocking “Big Brother” here at home would make their season. Never count a team out in a rivalry game, but it looks like a daunting task here.

A History of the University of Michigan vs. Michigan State Rivalry

These two bitter rivals have met 114 times in a series that dates back to 1898. They have faced off annually since 1945, which will continue for at least five years and (presumably) forever in the super-sized Big Ten. This is a protected game in the new “Flex Protect XVIII” scheduling model. The winner walks home with the Paul Bunyan – Governor of Michigan Trophy and bragging rights for a calendar year.

Michigan leads the series with a 72–38–5, but that has not come without occasional Michigan State runs. Most recently, the Spartans took 7 of 8 from 2008 to 2015 and also won the 2020 and 2021 games. 

Top 7 Games Between Michigan State vs. University of Michigan Wolverines

10/30/2021: Michigan State 37-Michigan 33

Both schools came into this game 7-0 or better for the first time. Michigan State won behind RB Kenneth Walker’s 197 yards and 5 TD’s. The ultimately brief Mel Tucker coaching era at Michigan State peaked here.

10/17/2015: Michigan State 27-Michigan 23

Michigan led 23-20 with 10 seconds left in Jim Harbaugh’s Wolverine coaching debut. All they had to do was successfully execute a punt from midfield. Then disaster struck. “Trouble with the snap” turned into a Spartan scoop, score, and a win for undefeated and 7th-ranked Michigan State.
 

11/3/2007: Michigan 28-Michigan State 24

A Super Bowl champion quarterback from Michigan retired from the NFL after the 2022 season. I am, of course, referring to Chad Henne. In 2007, he led the Wolverines to two late TDs and a dramatic comeback win in a game more famous for the debut of the postgame  “little brother” characterization of Michigan State courtesy of Michigan running back Mike Hart.

10/30/2004: Michigan 45-Michigan State 37

Underdog Michigan State led 27-10 in the 4th quarter in Ann Arbor, but the Wolverines' furious late rally tied it up at 27 and sent the game to overtime. After a TD and field each in the first two OT periods, Michigan WR Braylon Edwards caught a TD in the third overtime, and the Spartans could not match. Edwards would finish the game with 189 yards and 3 TD's.

11/3/2001: Michigan State 26-Michigan 24

This dramatic, last-second win for the Spartans is known as the “Clockgate” game in Ann Arbor. Down 24-20, the Michigan State QB scrambled and was stopped just a yard short of the end zone as time was about to expire. The Spartans ran to the line and spiked the ball, but it looked too late. Alas, the hometown timekeeper stopped the clock before the spike, and Michigan State got one more play, which they used for a TD pass to TJ Duckett and a dramatic win. The Big Ten changed its policy for future games using neutral timekeepers.

10/13/1990: Michigan State 28-Michigan 27

Unranked Michigan State shocked top-ranked Michigan. The Wolverines scored a TD with 6 seconds left to pull within a point. They elected to go for two and win back in an era before overtime. The pass to Wide receiver and future Heisman Trophy winner and College Gameday staple Desmond Howard fell incomplete, but it looked like clear interference, at least to the Michigan side.

10/14/1978: Michigan State 24-Michigan 15

Unranked Michigan State went into Ann Arbor and shocked the 5th-ranked Wolverines led by wide receiver Kirk Gibson. Yes, that Kirk Gibson.

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Michigan State vs. University of Michigan Wolverines Accomplishments

  • National Titles: Michigan 11, Michigan State 6
  • CFP Appearances Bowl Appearances: Michigan 2022, 2021, Michigan State 2015
  • Rose Bowl Appearances: Michigan 20, Michigan State 5
  • Rose Bowl Wins: Michigan 8, Michigan State 4
  • Big Ten Divisional Titles: Michigan 3 (2018, 2021, 2022), Michigan State 3 (2011, 2013, 2015)
  • Big Ten Titles: Michigan 44, Michigan State 9
  • Heisman Trophies: Michigan 3 (Tom Harmon, Desmond Howard, Charles Woodson), Michigan State 0
  • All-Time Win Percentage: Michigan 73.2%, Michigan State 59.9%

 


 

Michigan vs. Michigan State Game FAQs

Author

Adam Warner is the author of "Options Volatility Trading: Strategies for Profiting from Market Swings" former financial writer for Schaeffers Research, and freelance writer for Minyanville.com and StreetInsight.com. Previously Adam was a Market Maker on the American Stock Exchange and a graduate of Johns Hopkins University.

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