Detroit Lions 2024 Win Total: Trends of 10.5 Win Total Teams

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

With expectations among fans and Michigan sports betting customers soaring, the future is bright for coach Dan Campbell and the Detroit Lions. 

On the heels of the franchise’s first divisional title in 33 years, Detroit has a win total (or over/under) of 10.5 victories entering the 2024 NFL season. Fresh off a 12-5 campaign that saw Campbell and company reach the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 1991, the Lions aim to ensure that they’re anything but a one-hit wonder.

BetMichigan.com checked DraftKings Michigan Sportsbook’s current win totals for the 2024 NFL season and found that the Lions’ over/under is 10.5 wins (-120 over). We then looked at SportsReference.com to find all teams with a 10.5-win total line in the past 10 NFL seasons and how they performed.

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Season Performance Of 10.5 Win Total NFL Teams

Situation

Number of Teams 

Percentage*

Under 10.5 Wins

19 of 35

54.3%

Over 10.5 Wins

16 of 35

45.7%

Make NFL Playoffs

22 of 35

62.9%

Make Divisional Round

19 of 35

54.3%

Make Conference Championship

12 of 35

34.3%

Make Super Bowl

6 of 35

17.1%

Win Super Bowl

5 of 35

14.3%

*Rounded to nearest whole number

Can Lions Match 10.5 Win Total Success Stories?

As the 2024 NFL regular season draws closer, you can keep track of Detroit Lions playoff chances with us at BetMichigan.com.

Since 2014, 19 of the 35 NFL teams that entered the season with a win total over/under of 10.5 went on to win 10 games or fewer.  But 22 of those squads (or 62.9%) reached the postseason, some that won fewer than 10 games.

Of that bunch, five teams (the 2014 and 2016 New England Patriots, the 2019 and 2022 Kansas City Chiefs and the 2021 Los Angeles Rams) went on to capture the Vince Lombardi Trophy, while six teams in total have reached the Super Bowl over the last decade in Detroit’s shoes.

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2024 Detroit Lions Odds

If Detroit can reach the Big Game for the first time in the 59-year Super Bowl era, it’d mark the next step in Campbell’s ongoing renaissance movement in the Motor City.

That is not outlandish for a team that enters the league year ranked behind only the San Francisco 49ers (+550 odds to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy), Kansas City Chiefs (+600) and Baltimore Ravens (+950) – and alongside the Cincinnati Bengals – with +1300 Super Bowl odds with FanDuel Sportsbook Michigan as of June 4.

USA Today photo by Lon Horwedel

Author

Christopher Boan is a staff writer for BetMichigan.com. He has covered sports and sports betting for more than seven years and has worked for publications such as ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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