How Often Do 3-1 NFL Teams Reach The Postseason?

Detroit can breathe a bit easier and Lions backers at Michigan sportsbooks can count their winnings after the teamā€™s consecutive victories.

The Lions are 3-1 after downing the previously unbeaten Seattle Seahawks 42-29 on Monday night. Lions quarterback Jared Goff, an efficient 18-of-23 the previous week against the Arizona Cardinals, was perfect against Seattle. Goff was 18-of-18 passing for 292 yards and two touchdown to set the NFL record for most passes without an incompletion in a game.

At BetMichigan.com, the home of the best Michigan sports betting promos, we used Champs or Chumps to see how teams ended up after starting 3-1 since the 2019 NFL season. There have been 40 teams in the past five seasons that have started 2-1.

Season Performance of NFL Teams Starting 3-1

Situation

Number of Teams 

Percentage*

Making The Playoffs

30

75.0%

Advanced Past Wild Card Round

20

50.0%

Winning Divisional Round

8

20.0%

Winning Conference Championship

5

12.5%

Winning Super Bowl

4

10.0%

The Lions have +1000 odds to win the franchiseā€™s first Super Bowl, according to BetMGM Michigan Sportsbook. Thatā€™s tied for fourth on the operatorā€™s board along with the Buffalo Bills, behind only the Kansas City Chiefs (+500), San Francisco 49ers (+650) and Baltimore Ravens (+850).

The NFL trend over the past five years is that a team winning three of its first four games has exactly a three out of four chance of making the playoffs, or 75%. Eight of those teams advanced to the conference championship and four won the Super Bowl, according to ChampsorChumps.us data. In fact, the past four Super Bowl champions all started exactly 3-1.

Whatā€™s Ahead For Lions

The Lions have a bye in Week 5, then prepare for a matchup against the Dallas Cowboys on Oct. 13 in Arlington, Texas. A clash of two NFC title contenders is coming to Detroit next Monday (Sept. 30) as the unbeaten Seattle Seahawks visit Ford Field to face the Lions. See our Lions vs. Cowboys odds to track line movements and compare operators at BetMichigan.com.

Detroit allowed fewer than 21 points for three consecutive weeks to open the season. That streak ended against Seattle with 29 points allowed, but the Lions offense more than made up for it with a season high in points. Goff even caught a touchdown pass from receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown on a trick play in the third quarter.

Keep track of the Detroit Lions Super Bowl odds all season with us at BetMichigan.com.

USA Today photo by Kimberly P. Mitchell

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Author

Jim Tomlin

Jim Tomlin writes and edits for BetMichigan.com. In 30 years as a journalist he has worked for publications such as the Tampa Bay Times, Saturday Tradition, Saturday Down South and FanRag. He now lends his sports and gambling expertise to BetMichigan among other websites.

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